If Dems take Congress, what can they actually do? · Vox
探讨民主党若掌控国会后可能的政策走向与影响，适合练习政治话题和分析能力。
With what might end up being the
这最终可能会成为……
most costly election in the history of
这是历史上耗资最昂贵的选举。
the United States right around the corner
美国就在眼前（即将到来）。
Vox is bringing you conversations with our
Vox 为您带来我们与相关人士的对话内容。
political reporters and correspondents today We've got
如今的政坛记者和通讯员们……
senior political correspondent Andrew Prokop who's here
资深政治记者安德鲁·普罗科普也在这里。
to help us understand What a very different looking democratic party might be up to if they take Over the house and maybe the Senate Andrew.
安德鲁，这有助于我们了解：如果一个外观截然不同的民主党掌控了众议院甚至参议院，他们可能会采取什么样的行动。
We are about a month out now.
距离目标实现还有大约一个月的时间。
How are things looking?
情况怎么样？
They're looking pretty good If you believe the polls,
如果你相信民意调查的结果，那么他们的表现相当不错。
which is a question about, you know
这其实是一个关于……的问题，你懂的。
We've seen previous cycles in which the polls have been rosier for Democrats than the eventual outcome ended up being but
我们之前经历过一些周期：在这些周期中，民调显示民主党人的支持率比最终的实际结果要高。
Lately the polls have varied between being good for Democrats And the other end of the spectrum is polls that are like
最近，民调结果呈现出两种截然不同的趋势：一种是对民主党有利的结果，另一种则对民主党不利。
Incredibly unbelievably amazing for Democrats and so that's when you have all sorts of races that
对民主党人来说，这简直太不可思议、太令人惊叹了。正因如此，才会出现各种各样的选举竞争……
Nobody was even thinking about or talking about several months ago suddenly coming into play especially in the Senate hopes and dreams are
几个月前，根本没人会想到或讨论到这些因素会突然变得重要起来；尤其是在参议院，人们的期望和梦想依然未变。
Rising for not just majorities, but big majorities.
这场运动不仅仅是为少数群体而奋斗，而是为绝大多数人发声。
Hmm.
嗯……
If the Democrats wildest dreams come true
如果民主党人最疯狂的梦想都能成真……
What does the caucus look like is it way more lefty from the democratic socialists or is it still kind of tempered by by normie moderates?
这个党内核心小组（caucus）的具体构成是怎样的？它的立场是否更加偏向民主社会主义者（即更倾向于左翼观点）？还是说，其观点仍然受到那些持中间立场的普通党员的制约（即存在一定的平衡机制）？
So in the house the wins in
那么，在这个房子里，获胜的情况发生了……
primaries of Several democratic socialists or others
几位民主社会主义者及其他人士的初选活动
on the left that are kind of
在左边那些……
allies to the democratic socialists Those wins got a lot of attention earlier this year And they will be a significant
民主社会主义者的盟友们。今年早些时候，他们的这些胜利引起了广泛关注；他们将在未来的政治进程中发挥重要作用。
Block in any new house democratic majority almost all of them represent safe seats So they're pretty much certain to be there next year
在任何新建的议会中，民主党都占据多数席位；几乎所有这些民主党议员所代表的选区都是“稳赢”的选区（即民主党候选人几乎肯定会当选）。因此，他们明年继续留在议会中的可能性非常大。
But the vast majority of the democratic caucus will still be these more normie Democratic figures progressives
但民主派阵营的绝大多数成员仍会是那些较为传统的、立场较为温和的民主党人士。
Or more establishment types even in among
甚至在更广泛的“体制内群体”中，也存在更多这类情况。
the new members who might get elected
那些有可能当选的新成员
If you go past those safe seats
如果你从那些“安全座位”旁边经过的话……
which had these primaries and you look at the actual swing seats I did an article about this a few months back
这些地方举行了初选；如果你看看那些真正可能发生选情变化的选区（即“摇摆选区”），我几个月前还写过一篇关于这个话题的文章。
The nominees in these swing seats are
这些关键选区的提名候选人分别是……
overwhelmingly more of these normie types their local office holders They're people who have run for office before and maybe it didn't work out
绝大多数这类普通人更倾向于支持当地的公职人员。这些人之前都曾竞选过公职，不过可能没有成功。
Another common profile is women with military or national security backgrounds This is a type of candidate that Democrats have recruited from very
另一种常见的候选人类型是具有军事或国家安全背景的女性。这类候选人正是民主党长期以来一直在积极招募的对象。
Very actively and then you have another group of candidates, which are sort of more idiosyncratic
有一组候选人非常活跃；另外还有一组候选人，他们的性格或行为方式相对更为独特（或：更具个性）。
They have interesting backgrounds.
他们的背景都非常有趣。
They're not necessarily who you'd expect some are more blue -collar Some have interesting careers,
他们并不一定符合你的预期；其中有些人属于蓝领阶层，而另一些人的职业则相当有趣。
but I would say You know the the modal Democrat is kind of like this normie
但我想说的是，所谓的“主流民主党人”其实和那些普通的普通人没什么两样。
Democratic type who is a progressive
属于民主党阵营、具有进步思想的人士。
Maybe a few in tougher seats have more moderate views, but generally the party as
也许在那些处境较为艰难的人中，有些人持有较为温和的观点；但总体而言，该政党……（原文在此处不完整，无法继续翻译。）
It would be sworn in to next year's majority.
它将被正式纳入明年的执政党阵营（即成为明年的多数党）。
It would not be like a socialist party by any means and
它无论如何都不像一个社会主义政党。